Sep 22, 2010
Internal Poll: Barney Frank losing ground against Sean Bielat
Today, Sean Bielat, candidate for Massachusetts' Fourth Congressional District, released the details of a survey that shows support for Barney Frank in the district has dipped below 50% in the head-to-head contest with Bielat. According to the poll, Frank leads Bielat by just ten points, with 48% favoring Frank and 38% supporting Bielat. Those who are undecided make up 13% of the poll. Notably, Independents support Bielat over Frank by the wide margin of 51% to 34%.
"People are sick and tired of Washington and career politicians. That's why Barney Frank's poll numbers are dropping like a rock and why he's taking desperate measures like bringing in Bill Clinton to campaign for him," said Bielat responding to the poll results. "National support is snowballing and our campaign and supporters are more enthusiastic than ever. It shows what we've known all along: we are on track to replace an entrenched politician who's been part of the problem for years."
The survey, conducted for Bielat's campaign by the firm OnMessage, polled 400 likely voters in Massachusetts' Fourth Congressional District after the September 14 primary election. The margin of error is +/-4.9%.
While Frank's support has dwindled overall, it is rapidly eroding with Independent voters. In a similar poll conducted in late July by OnMessage, Frank's overall support stood four points higher and he had a 44% to 37% advantage over Bielat with Independents. In less than two months, Frank's support from Independents has dramatically reversed.
With Congressional disapproval at an all-time high, and new reports swirling about Frank's involvement in the OneUnited Bank scandal, support for the perennial Congressman is expected to continue its downward slide.
Wes Anderson of OnMessage concludes in his polling memo, "With the proper funding and ability to compete with Frank for the last four weeks of the election, Massachusetts 4 could provide the upset story of the 2010 midterm elections."